Excellent read, great analysis! In my opinion, especially the first point is crucial for success and that's where Jolla might have better chances. They now target big governments which usually have a lot of cash in their pockets. Moreover, they avoid the bloody battleground of the consumer market.

However, many of the points also apply to the SFOS ecosystem - especially the lack of devices and (as an app developer) the still very unsatisfying status of officially available APIs. If you want to write a nice app which uses some of the features which make a smartphone really smart, you are probably not allowed to use Harbour and end up in OpenRepos (fortunately, we have this great platform).

I hope, Jolla's financial situation will allow it in the future to invest much more in developer experience - which is crucial both for the governmental use case and for the greatest of all communities.