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#1581
Originally Posted by Kangal View Post


Q2 is a good quarter to portray the companies success year-over-year.
After spending, literally billions, Lumia sales haven't received any success for Nokia by Q2 '12. This is one good piece of data to know.

That means the devices were either poor products, or overpriced, otherwise the market had other preferences. In Nokia's case it was all of the above.

Nokia didn't undercut its phone's prices to make purchase incentive (at least not until late '12). Nokia's devices weren't as advanced as the competition (no large screens, great battery life, killer features etc etc), at least not until the 1020. But more than that, the public wasn't warm to the Windows Phone ecosystem.

Let's fast forward a year, to Q2/13.
Nokia has doubled its shipments. Its greatly reduced its advertising/R&D costs.
It is beginning to bare the fruit of its labour. However the figures are still low, meaning anythings possible.... but if the figure continues at current pace, it leaves Nokia with 12M sales which is "sustainable" for a firm of this size. Something like 30M would be a more "healthy" state for an OEM of this calibre.

Now lets have a look at BB.
Starting with Q2/12 they are caught in their slouch from a "sustainable" 11M figure down to barely 8M. The lag to produce their new ecosystem (BBX) costed them 1.5 years... this impeded their business.
Regular business would bankrupt at such happenings but BB is large enough to survive it.
They did a tremendous job of keeping it alive, however the competition has been too strong.

Fast-forward a year, now BB ships 7M devices.
That hurts a company of this size. It would have to get smaller, otherwise its simply not sustainable. Here BB is hoping for another 6-12 months of 6-8M figure sales. But hoping they bare the fruit of their labour as Nokia is (only just) beginning to.
If such a thing happens, BB could find itself selling 12M devices a quarter, far from its previous victories... yet a sustainable figure.

At which point, Nokia and BB would be at a deadlock... yet far from their competition of Apple and Samsung. They would be competing with the likes of LG and SONY both selling between 8 - 10M units per quarter... whereas HTC is in grave danger as its constantly shipping lesser and lesser devices each quarter/year and is in the 5M figure.
I like your analysis. I think that Nokia was faster to shed their old skin, and their Lumias are growing, albeit slow due to very,very tough competition. I prefer WP to android as android is a total iOS rip off. Nonetheless, Nokia is in a tough position as innovation is limited to hardware and some software. That said, WP is not happy either as Nokia is pretty much their only manufacturer and can negotiate license prices on their own terms.
 
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#1582
Kicking butt today!

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N9: Go white or go home
 
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#1583
Originally Posted by daperl View Post
Kicking butt today!

Attachment 32862

Let me ask: why so much hate?
 
Posts: 131 | Thanked: 62 times | Joined on Feb 2010
#1584
er this is a Maemo forum and Nokia turned its back on Maemo maybe?

Or did that escape you?

I highly doubt this forum will become a WP forum anytime before Pangaea Ultima arrives.

rgds
 
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#1585
Originally Posted by Lumiaman View Post
Let me ask: why so much hate?
Look no further than the mirror.
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Posts: 3,464 | Thanked: 5,107 times | Joined on Feb 2010 @ Gothenburg in Sweden
#1586
Join the movement
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Keep safe and healthy
 
Posts: 1,523 | Thanked: 1,997 times | Joined on Jul 2011 @ not your mom's FOSS basement
#1587
...be a follower.
 
Posts: 207 | Thanked: 552 times | Joined on Jul 2011
#1588
Originally Posted by Kangal View Post
Let's fast forward a year, to Q2/13.
Nokia has doubled its shipments. Its greatly reduced its advertising/R&D costs.
It is beginning to bare the fruit of its labour. However the figures are still low, meaning anythings possible.... but if the figure continues at current pace, it leaves Nokia with 12M sales which is "sustainable" for a firm of this size. Something like 30M would be a more "healthy" state for an OEM of this calibre.
Last quarter only NOKIA's volume increased, their sales in terms of money did not.

Increasing your volumes wont make your company more 'sustainable' if you don't make some money.
 
Posts: 3,464 | Thanked: 5,107 times | Joined on Feb 2010 @ Gothenburg in Sweden
#1589
Originally Posted by switch-hitter View Post
Last quarter only NOKIA's volume increased, their sales in terms of money did not.

Increasing your volumes wont make your company more 'sustainable' if you don't make some money.
Maybe they are trying an Microsoft. Remember XBox1 was sold for underprice too...
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Posts: 131 | Thanked: 62 times | Joined on Feb 2010
#1590
Great quotes I saw today.

"People are willing to pay a premium to avoid Windows!"

"Microsoft could have made less loss if they had just given Windows RT away!"

"Apple could have sold iPads at $15 and still made more than Microsoft"

rgds

ps. Android is not an iOS rip off, I never get tired of hearing LumiaFUD he's so funny.
 
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