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Unbuntu growing, linux declining
Had a play with Google trends just now, and saw a strange thing. Linux has been slowly declining over the last few years , but Ubuntu is growing.
http://www.google.com/trends?q=linux...ate=all&sort=0 Could it be that people see Ubuntu synonymous with Linux? My fave distro Open SuSE seems to be on the decline:( Interesting to see Maemo making a dent in the last months.:) Looks like you debs are winning. Mike C |
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Ubuntu: "art of being human"
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LOL my Wife uses Ubuntu on an IBM X41 laptop, and is none the wiser.
Has Firefox, has eMail, can do internet banking, and online shopping. Not interested in anything else. Mike C |
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I'd take trends with a fair pinch of salt. I see a lot of odd declines and growths that don't seem to match the real world, and this is one of them (I've done it myself in the past).
Think of all the activity with netbooks over recent times, for example, and all the coverage that got Linux for a while.. |
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Mike C |
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It could be as simple as Ubuntu becoming the preferred UI and crowding out competitors. So its growth and Linux' apparent shrinking could be converging toward toward a point where they are like Windows and DOS. :D
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I think you are seeing a reaction to the splintering of Linux. Most people don't want to research which variation on Linux meets their particular needs. They are content to go with the first distribution they find that seems to meet most people's needs. At the moment that is Ubuntu. It's easy to find, it's easy to use, it's website is easy to navigate, and it's an easy name to remember. The fact that they are expanding into alternate interfaces (Kubuntu) and devices (Ubuntu Netbook Remix, Ubuntu MID Edition) just makes the decision easier.
Texrat's analogy is a good one. In the early days of PCs most users never knew there was any DOS besides MS-DOS. Eventually it became not just the de facto leader but the only DOS most people would use. |
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Texrat
I think that was my point, at some point people wont ask for linux, its just Ubuntu. Mike C |
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That's a good sign that Linux is working well under the hood.
When you have problems with Linux, that's when people talk about it a lot :-) After all, people with PCs running Windows don't know what Windows is until they have a problem and someone tells them it's because they are running Windows ;-) |
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A couple of things could be going on:
* To your point, Ubuntu and Linux could be used interchangeably. * Since this trend is about search, could be that people already know where to go and don't have to search for either of those terms. |
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Number of increases whole time hence a downwards trend could very well mean stability. You didn't include Ubuntu in your link but after including it, it shows not an increase after 2007Q2. Instead its stable, fluctuating both up as well as down. As for Suse, A shows a possible explanation. The decline from A to F is 2,5 years. This decline is sharper than from 2,5 years before A to A. |
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If you just look at the trend for maemo, you see something very funny. The biggest "city" doing searches for "maemo" is a place called "Nokia, Finland". This is followed by cities like "Espoo" and "Helsinki".
Hmm. |
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http://distrowatch.com/stats.php?section=popularity Looking around, I think I was too kind when I described Linux as splintered. Ground into a fine powder might be more appropriate. |
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From: customer.services Subject: Your order is on its way .. I nearly wet myself with excitement, only to open the mail and find out it's from the supermarket we order online delivery from telling us they'll be delivering tomorrow. I cried. :p |
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IMHO search trends are interesting but the meaning is open for discussion. The use of Linux platforms is increasing. For some devices that use Linux the device brand would be the dominant search term. I doubt for example that most TomTom users even know their device runs Linux. Android as a brand also overshadows the Linux within.
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And I doubt many Panasonic flat-screen owners realize they're Linux users. Maybe they'll be able to stumble over that remote-control option which shows the GPL license, if they're lucky. There are other TV vendors using Linux too. I wouldn't be surprised if the vast majority turn out to do so.
BTW, one of these days I'm going to try to put and SD card formatted as ext2 into a Panasonic TV (the one for slideshows), to see if it recognizes it. Their kernel is compiled with CONFIG_EXT2_FS=y :) |
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Ahh, I see you longing for the times when you could buy your Model T in any colour as long as it was black. Well, those times are gone and one size doesn't fit all. |
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Still, some interesting things can be done. |
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its not that fun finding a pip button on the remote, only to discover that the model tv it was bundled with do not have the feature...
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Panasonic have been a long-time user of linux. I recall seeing the in-flight VOD system reboot when I was last travelling with United Airlines and the penguin logo came up, it looked like a modified debian with 2.4 kernel.
Most people don't realise their TomTom devices are linux either. |
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