maemo.org - Talk - Q309 global phone marketshare figures out: SE eclipses Motorola

These figures are for ALL cellphones, not just smartphones. Apple isn't even a factor on that level. If you just post smartphone figures, of which I don't feel Apple truly belongs, but will include for the sake of perception and to avoid a debate, Apple is a player, and a strong one.

Apple's rise will taper the next few quarters, but because of Android and WinMo, not Nokia. Apple is precariously hedged in the US, with about 40% of its sales in the US. Droid and Windows Phone will wreak havoc on the iPhone. at&t will push Symbian next year, so they say, and hopefully someone will push Maemo (uh, TMo...get it together.), and a weak iPhone and a refreshed Symbian by Q4 2010 will make for an interesting market war, especially in the US.

Motorola will rise back to one of the top three or four spots in the US and possibly abroad with its Android strategy, and if they're profitable enough to afford to jump back into Symbian development, they'll be a formidable OEM to tangle with in most markets.